How many premierships manly won

Example 1 : There are six numbers on a die 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 , each at 1 in 6 chance. Over the long run of a bunch of independent rolls of the die, the results will average out to 3. Example 2 : You bet on red 18 in 38 chance on roulette which is paying 2 to 1.

You lose your money if it lands on anything else 20 in That is, over the long run, you can expect to lose 5c per spin of the wheel. The notion of expected premierships, or xPremierships or xPrem , is tangentially related to expectation. If we then re-ran the series one hundred times over, we would expect the Sharks to win 25 of them.

If you add up the chance each club has of winning the premiership each year, that should give you a pretty good idea of how many premierships we expect that club to win. We can then compare that to the number of actual premierships they won to see if the over- or under-achieved against our expectation. The purported reason for the change was to give more advantage to the top four teams. In a rare case of intended consequences, this actually works out.

If I run the Finals Stocky with all clubs on equal ratings, we get the following premiership breakdowns. Under the old McIntyre system, the top two were heavily advantaged but there was no real reward for finishing third compared to sixth.

To date, no team that has finished outside of the top four on the ladder has won a NRL premiership. You might want to switch from your phone to desktop or tap to open in a new tab for the rest of this. The table shows the xPremierships for each NRL club from the season through to last year. There are some great bits of trivia in that table. The Sharks were half as likely to win the premiership than the Tigers.

Cronulla were six times more likely to win in We think of the Tigers as being the most surprising premiers but this underlines how crap the Sharks were in the run-up to the finals series, despite having a massive winning streak earlier in the season.

Also in , we had a rare double choke, where both Parramatta and St George Illawarra failed to win the premiership despite heavy favouritism. As it would turn out, neither would even make the grand final. The successful clubs — that is, those that make the finals more regularly — rank higher on xPremierships than the less successful ones.

This photo was proudly displayed in the offices of the old Souths Leagues Club. But despite those humble beginnings, the small band of believers managed to garner more and more support, culminating in an historic meeting at Redfern Town Hall on January 17, where South Sydney was officially formed. Despite strong initial opposition from those who continued to support rugby union, the club made significant progress, with regular training sessions being held at Moore Park, where the players were taught the rules of Northern Union football.

The game was played as a-side, probably because the club only had 24 players on their books at the time. George Ball hired the ground for the day, which cost the club half a guinea. A regular Souths rugby union first grade forward in 94 games, scoring 5 tries , he toured New Zealand in , and represented New South Wales against Queensland in His policy of 'no kicking' at the club earned South Sydney the title 'The Pride of the League' with their running and passing style of play.

When clubs and representative sides began to list their players in chronological order, as had been the case in cricket, Hennessy held the unique honour of being Number One on the Rabbitohs player register, as well as NSW Blues and the Australian Kangaroos. Hennessy had quickly absorbed the principles of the new code and became a sought-after coach; in he trained the Wyalong team. As NSW coach of the touring side to New Zealand he imposed a steak-only diet for lunch on match days.

Hennessy strongly advocated the no kick principle, emphasizing the importance of ball possession to score tries. This came to be the mark of South Sydney's football, influenced by Hennessy as head trainer in During the s Hennessy was a football and boxing coach at Waverley College. He was a non-playing coach of the Kangaroo tour of Britain, the first and only such appointment until Clive Churchill's in Hennessy prohibited kicking and the Australians were narrowly defeated.

He was a man of calm disposition and solid judgement, and he had seen his beloved Rabbitohs, and the League, grow through the years to remarkable success. Mr Ball began his administrative career in as secretary of the Waterloo Albions rugby union side, which played in the junior competition. Treasurer of the Club, and stayed in office until the following year.

He also served as manager of NSW sides to Queensland and New Zealand and managed the Kangaroo tour with clubmate, Billy Cann, the only time any club has had such an honour.

He became one of the cornerstones of the game until stepping down from all duties on 12th April The Pearce family were a famous swimming, sculling, boxing and footballing family.

Mr Ball died on 26th August at Double Bay, aged 85, and there were many fine tributes given to him after his death. I have never known a better one in League affairs. He made his first grade rugby league debut with Souths in , Round 2 v Western Suburbs at the Agricultural Ground, scoring two tries on debut.

Mr Cann went on to become both an innovative player and long-serving administrator with Souths. Following his retirement Mr Cann was co-manager of the Kangaroos with Souths secretary George Ball - the only time that officials from the same club have been in charge of a touring team.

The following year he became Club President until , as well as Hon. Auditor from and then club Delegate to the League in Brother of James Fry who played rugby union for Souths in their very first game in , Fred Fry who played rugby league for Easts , and Bill Fry who also played rugby league for Souths.